January 12 2022, 18:22
The energy crisis, which affects the economies of countries in different parts of the world, has become an occasion for discussion in the fifth studio program on Russia 24 channel. Despite the fact that gas prices in Europe have fallen below a thousand euros per cubic meter, the situation is still Very difficult now. Experts say a new energy crisis may be brewing in Asia, this time coal.
Economist Mikhail Khazin pointed out that many important events have occurred. “The first began a long time ago, when, as a result of mass propaganda, “greening” the economy, they began not to invest in conventional energy. As a result, capacities are discarded, and new ones do not appear. Second, we decided that unconventional sources could replace Quite traditional sources. It turned out to be unsuccessful. The expert said either because the wind does not blow, or a natural disaster.
According to Khazen, it is necessary to unleash the traditional capabilities to compensate for this unconventional decline. “But the traditional ones are fully functional, as if they were already obsolete – they went stupid,” he said.
Leonid Krutakov, Associate Professor at the Government Finance University, is sure that “green noise” is “an attempt to impose new politically certain rules of conduct in the energy sector on the whole world. Because all that is being done now in green energy is a new tax on hydrocarbons. “. Krutakov is convinced that green energy is a myth created as a political project. “We do not know a single business project that is justified from the point of view of finances and investments and how this will happen. We only see political statements and pronouncements. The result – we have already read and understood today – is in the form of price jumps.
Krotakov cited the numbers as an argument. From 2000 to 2015, five of the world’s leading Western companies – ExxonMobil, Shell, BP, Chevron and Total – quadrupled their investment in production from $29 billion to $121 billion. At the same time, their total share of global reserves decreased from 3.5 to 2.2 percent. This means that Western companies are left without oil. In this sense, energy in carbon energy began to move to national state-owned enterprises: Chinese (Sinopec), Indian and Russian – Rosneft and Gazprom. There is a flow of energy in the world. And energy is the engine of the world economy, the engine. There is nothing else, nothing else. Therefore, it was necessary to review the financial conditions. This is where green energy comes in.
During the discussion, Deputy Director General of the National Energy Institute Alexander Frolov drew attention to the fact that the price of lithium has increased by 560% over the past year. “Lithium, which is used in batteries, and all respected large global organizations have expected its cost to be reduced,” the expert said.
Frolov also sees the concept of a “green” energy transition as underpinning politics. “From the point of view of the European Union, the transition, the growth in the share of energy generation from wind and solar, was justified by the fact that, according to the forecasts expressed there in the zero years, it was assumed that Europe would increase its dependence on energy imports, primarily on gas Europe at that time was the largest manufacturer of equipment for solar power plants and wind farms. And there they scratched their heads and decided: we are a very attractive market, gas and oil will be delivered to us anyway, and suppliers will compete with each other, push elbows, lower prices and offer us profitable offers At the same time, we will start again and install windmills to reduce our dependence on external factors,” he said on the air of Russia 24 channel.
There are two models for the development of the green generation, Frolov said. The first is European, which implies the “burning” of everything and everything, that is, the closure of nuclear power plants, coal and gas. The second is eastern or Chinese, through which they develop alternative energy sources, but at the same time rely on other types of generation, developing them in parallel and improving their economy.
At the end of the discussion, Leonid Krutakov referred to the figures of the International Energy Agency, according to which 80% of technologies are not enough to release renewable energy. “As Gates says, during the day at noon solar costs are the same as gas, and at night it is a thousand times more expensive. Sometimes the wind blows, sometimes it doesn’t. So, without hydrocarbons, without reserves, I think the maximum that can be brought in renewable energy It is a maximum of 30% of the total energy balance.”
Alexander Frolov concluded the conversation: “Crises will recur until all lessons are learned correctly.”